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Kännetecknas av en pragmatism. Bilaterala förhällanden mellan Finland och Kina

Article · September 2016with8 ReadsDOI: 10.17585/ip.v74.491
  • Jyrki Kallio
AbstractThe Sino-Finnish relations are primarily driven by commercial interests from the side of Finland. For China, Finland is probably also seen as a relatively harmless partner by China. Nonetheless, China's core interests are reflected even in the Sino-Finnish bilateral relations. China remains sensitive to indications which disdain its position as equal to other major powers. Taking the current financial crisis and economic stagnation in Europe into account, China's continuous economic growth is vital for the European economy. Because the Chinese government sees stability as a crucial condition for economic growth, China's stability is more than just indirectly in the interests of Europe, the Nordic countries included. The question then becomes: how far will any individual countries – taken that they may have competing commercial interests – be ready to go in giving at least implicit support to China's measures in upholding its internal stability?

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Join for free FOKUS: NORDEN OG KINAKa¨nnetecknas av en pragmatism.Bilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finlandoch KinaJyrki Kallio*,a¨ldre forskare, Utrikespolitiska institutet i FinlandThe Sino-Finnish relations are primarily driven by commercial interests fromthe side of Finland. For China, Finland is probably also seen as a relativelyharmless partner by China. Nonetheless, China’s core interests are reflectedeven in the Sino-Finnish bilateral relations. China remains sensitive to indi-cations which disdain its position as equal to other major powers. Taking thecurrent financial crisis and economic stagnation in Europe into account,China’s continuous economic growth is vital for the European economy.Because the Chinese government sees stability as a crucial condition foreconomic growth, China’s stability is more than just indirectly in the interestsof Europe, the Nordic countries included. The question then becomes:how far will any individual countries taken that they may have competingcommercial interests be ready to go in giving at least implicit support toChina’s measures in upholding its internal stability?Keywords: China ×Finland ×bilateral relationsInledningUnder a˚ret 2015 firades den 65:e a˚rsdagen fo¨r uppra¨ttandet av diplomatiskafo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finland och Folkrepubliken Kina, samma a˚r firades a¨venuppra¨ttandet av fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Kina och Danmark samt Kina och Sverige.Fasta¨n Finland sedvanligt, i de officiella uttalanden som givits under bilaterala mo¨tenmellan Finland och Kina, hyllas som »en av de fo¨rsta la¨nderna som erka¨ndeFolkrepubliken Kina»var Finland den 13 januari 1950 i verkligheten den tredje blandde Nordiska la¨nderna att go¨ra detta, efter Danmark och Norge. Detta erka¨nnandeha¨nde fo¨rst efter va¨nsterns riksdagsfra˚ga ga¨llande a¨mnet (Rosenberg 2008: 67).Ocksa˚da˚ det ga¨ller uppra¨ttandet av diplomatiska fo¨rha˚llanden var Finland den28 oktober 1950 det tredje Nordiska landet, efter Sverige och Danmark, som*Korrespondanse: Jyrki Kallio, Utrikespolitiska institutet i Finland. Email: jyrki.kallio@fiia.fiA˚rgang 74 | Nr. 3 | 2016 | ISSN 1891-5580 Fokusartikkel - fagfellevurdert#2016 Jyrki Kallio. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), allowing third parties to copy and redistributethe material in any medium or format and to remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, evencommercially, provided the original work is properly cited and states its license.Citation: Jyrki Kallio (2016). »Norden og Kina: Ka¨nnetecknas av en pragmatism. Bilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finland ochKina». Internasjonal Politikk, 74, 3: 19. http://dx.doi.org/10.17585/ip.v74.491 1 uppra¨ttade diplomatiska fo¨rha˚llanden med Kina. Efter detta fortskred saker snabbtoch Finland o¨ppnade en ambassad i Peking a˚r 1952. Ambassaden hade enhandelsavdelning a¨nda fra˚n bo¨rjan och Finland var det fo¨rsta icke-kommunistiskalandet att underteckna ett handelsavtal med Kina a˚ r 1953. Handelsavtalet var etttrepartsavtal med hja¨lp av vilket Finland skulle exportera papper och maskineritill Kina, Kina skulle exportera agrikulturella produkter till Sovietunionen ochSovietunionen skulle exportera bra¨nsle och fordon till Finland (Havre´n 2009: 53).Det a¨r intressant att la¨gga ma¨rke till att det a¨ldsta avtalet mellan Finland ochKina, uppra¨ttat a˚r 1926, a¨r90a˚r gammalt. Detta avtal a¨rva¨nskapsavtalet mellanFinland och Republiken Kina och det anses a¨nnu vara ga¨llande eftersom ingenav parterna explicit har uttryckt att det inte vore det (Valtiosopimukset 21/1927,Havre`n 2009: 31). Den unga kinesiska republiken fo¨rutsatte sa˚dana avtal fo¨r attuppra¨tta diplomatiska fo¨rha˚llanden med fra¨mmande nationer. Ma˚nga av dessafra¨mmande nationer hade tvingat kejsardo¨met Kina att ge deras medborgare ochfo¨retag exterritoriella ra¨ttigheter genom pakter vilka a¨rka¨nda som »oja¨mlika avtal»iKina. Finland som erka¨ndes av Republiken Kina a˚r 1919 lyckades a¨nda˚ uppra¨ttadiplomatiska fo¨rha˚llanden med Republiken Kina redan den 9 mars 1923.1Finlanduppra¨ttho¨ll ett konsulat i Shanghai a¨nda till andra va¨rldskriget, mest i syftet attbetja¨na den finska fo¨retagsgemenskapen da¨r.Efter att ha uppra¨ttat diplomatiska fo¨rha˚llanden med Folkrepubliken Kina harFinland fo¨rblivit en av de fa˚la¨nder som aldrig uppho¨rt eller frusit diplomatiskafo¨rha˚llanden med Kina. Under de tidiga a˚ rtiondena var ka¨rnan i fo¨rha˚llandena a˚ enasidan kommersiell, sko¨tt av diverse fo¨retagsakto¨rer (Heikura 1995: 7880), men a˚andra sidan kulturell, kulturellt utbyte pa˚bo¨rjades och koordinerades av SamfundetFinland-Kina (Heikinheimo 2016). Fo¨rha˚llanden pa˚ den politiska niva˚n var la¨ngeda¨mpade pa˚ grund av spa¨nningarna mellan Sovjetunionen och Kina. Det fo¨rstastatsbeso¨ket fra˚n Finland till Kina a¨gde rum a˚r 1988 och det fo¨rsta statsbeso¨ket fra˚nKina till Finland a˚r 1995. Det andra statsbeso¨ket fra˚n Finland till Kina blev redan ava˚r 1996 (Ulkoasiainministerio¨2014).Under kulturrevolutionen var alla former av bilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden sa¨llsyntamen epoken fo¨ro¨ppning och reform under det sena 1970-talet fo¨rde med sig en nyintensitet, speciellt ga¨llande handelsfo¨rha˚llanden. Finland fo¨ljde guldrushen till Kinafo¨rha˚llandevis sent pa˚ grund av Finlands blomstrande handel med Sovjetunionen(Siika 2015: 271). Det fo¨rsta gemensamma finsk-kinesiska samfo¨retaget, en fabriksom tillverkade pappersmaskiner, startade a˚ r 1989 i Xi’an (Seppa¨la¨2008). Samma a˚rblev Finland det fo¨rsta va¨sterla¨ndska landet som a˚terupptog visiter pa˚ ministerniva˚till Kina efter ha¨ndelserna vid Himmelska fridens torg. Utrikeshandelsministernsvisit a˚drog sig kritik ba˚ de hemma och utomlands men visiten sades ha varit fokuseraduteslutande pa˚ handel (Havre´n 2009: 221224).1Datumet fo¨r erka¨nnandet har ha¨mtats ur arkivka¨llor i Taiwan som a¨r muntligt fo¨rmedlade av endiplomat fra˚ n Republiken Kina.Jyrki Kallio2 Sjunkande export fra˚n Finland, lovande start fo¨r investeringartill FinlandSedan 1990-talet har Finlands kommersiella na¨rvaro i Kina o¨kat i ja¨mn takt. Nokia,Kone och Rovio har, fo¨r att na¨mna na˚gra finla¨ndska fo¨retag, blivit va¨lka¨ndaframga˚ngshistorier i Kina. Finnair uppra¨ttade regelbunden trafik till Peking a˚r1988 och som ba¨st flyger Finnair till sex destinationer i Kina (inklusive Hong Kong)(Finnair 2015).Den totala handelsvolymen a˚r 2015 var 6503 miljoner euro, av detta utgjordes3967 miljoner euro av importer till Finland (Tilastokeskus 2015). Ba˚ de import- ochexportsiffrorna har fluktuerat starkt under a˚ ren. Sedan 2010 sta˚ r Kina fo¨ro¨ver 5% avfinla¨ndsk export och 68% av importen. Detta go¨r Kina till Finlands femte sto¨rstahandelspartner, till och med till sto¨rre a¨n USA (Tulli 2015). Bland de nordiskala¨nderna har Kinas viktiga roll fo¨r Finland som exportmarknad konsistent varit denho¨gsta. Kinas andel av totala exporter fra˚n de andra nordiska la¨nderna har ha˚llitsunder 4% med undantag fo¨r Danmark vars exporter har stigit ja¨mt och o¨verstegandelen av Finlands export a˚ r 2015.Enligt den finska tullens statistik a¨r de tre sto¨rsta kategorierna av varor somexporteras fra˚n Finland till Kina industrimaskiner (26%), elektriska maskiner ochapparater (17%) och pappersmassa (17%). Andelen pa¨lsar fo¨rho¨jdes i snabb taktunder fo¨rsta ha¨lften av a˚ret 2015, fra˚n 8% till 15%. De fem sto¨rsta importkategorierna(2014) a¨r elektriska maskiner och apparater (41%), andra varor (18%) och kla¨der(17%) (Tulli 2015). Uppsa¨ttningen exportvaror visar att traditionella, i la˚ g gradfo¨rfinade, exportprodukter sta˚r fo¨r en tredjedel av helheten. Detta kombinerat meddet faktum att export till Kina sjunkit och a¨r under niva˚n av exporter a˚r 2010 a¨r ettdystert tecken pa˚ den finska exportindustrins nuvarande tillsta˚nd och en pa˚minnelseatt alla medel a¨rno¨dva¨ndiga fo¨r att fo¨rebygga en ytterligare fo¨rminskning.Finland so¨ker aktivt nya marknader i Kina. Den finska ministern som a¨r ansvarigfo¨r utrikeshandel beso¨kte Kina i januari a˚r 2015 och diskuterade under sitt beso¨kexporten av finska matvaror till Kina. Finska fo¨retag har so¨kt efter nya marknaderefter att exporten till Ryssland har fo¨rminskat, inledningsvis har na˚ gra framsteg gjorts.Ma˚let a¨r att uppna˚en35ga˚nger stor fo¨rho¨jning i matexporter till Kina inom dena˚gra kommande a˚ren (Takala 2015). Andra fo¨rva¨ntningar pa˚ tillva¨xt finns inomgruppen av sma˚ och medelstora fo¨retag, till exempel inom branschen fo¨r miljo¨va¨nligteknologi eller cleantech (Finpro 2014). Finska fo¨retag gynnas ocksa˚ av kinesiskainvesteringar till andra land. Fasta¨n Kinas kontinentala Sidenva¨g, »One Belt», intena˚r Finland har finska fo¨retag deltagit i relaterade infrastrukturella projekt i Iran(Simila¨2016).Under a˚ret 2013 stod kinesiska turister fo¨r endast 2% av alla turister som kommertill Finland (Tilastokeskus 2014) men nu stiger den siffran. Under a˚ret 2015 fo¨rho¨jdesantalet o¨vernattningar av kinesiska turister med 41% och en liknande tillva¨xt fo¨rva¨ntasga¨lla fo¨ra˚ret 2016 (Tilastokeskus 2016). En stor pullfaktor a¨r det finska Lapplandoch dess ka¨ndaste inva˚nare: Jultomten. En ytterligare tillva¨xt i kinesisk turismfo¨rva¨ntas som resultat av att det o¨ppnades 13 nya visumanso¨kningscentraler i KinaBilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finland och Kina3 under va˚ren 2016. Tidigare har man endast kunnat anso¨ka om finska visum i Pekingoch Shanghai (Embassy of Finland, Beijing 2016a). De kinesiska turisterna a¨r mycketva¨lkomna eftersom de i genomsnitt spenderar mera pengar per beso¨ka¨n sto¨rsta delenav turister av andra nationaliteter (Visit Finland 2016). Det beho¨vs a¨nda˚ meraanstra¨ngningar att erbjuda tja¨nster fo¨r kineser pa˚ deras eget spra˚k.Som ba¨st finns det cirka 350 finska fo¨retag som a¨r aktiva i Kina, sammanlagtansta¨ller de cirka 60000 ma¨nniskor. Den totala summan finska investeringar till Kinauppskattas vara o¨ver 10 miljarder euro (Elinkeinoela¨ma¨n keskusliitto 2015). Andelenkinesiska investeringar till Finland a¨r obetydlig i fo¨rha˚llande, den uppskattas varacirka 200 miljoner euro. En av de tidigaste och sto¨rsta investerarna a¨r Huawei somhar uppra¨ttat en forsknings- och utvecklingscentral i Finland a˚r 2012. Den finskaregeringen fra¨mjar aktivt investeringar fra˚n Kina, i synnerhet fra¨mjas investeringar iinnovation och ho¨gteknologi samt i turism- och resebranschen. Inom de na˚grakommande a˚ren verkar det mo¨jligt att kinesiska investeringar, genom uppko¨pavfinska fo¨retag, totalt kunde na˚ en miljard euro (BOFIT 2016). Ja¨mfo¨relsevis harinvesteringar fra˚n Japan varierat mellan 94 och 227 miljoner euro a˚rligen mellan a˚ren2004 och 2012, under a˚ret 2013 tog Finland emot investeringar fo¨r 1384 miljonereuro fra˚n Japan (Suomen Pankki 2014).Mot ett praktiskt partnerskapRiktlinjerna fo¨r utvecklingen av Finlands relationer till Kina definieras i Finland-Kinahandlingsplanen (Finland-China Action Plan, 2010) som Finlands utrikesministeriumproducerat. I dokumentet betonas kommersiella och ekonomiska intressen somka¨rnan fo¨r praktiskt samarbete mellan Finland och Kina, men i dokumentetunderstryks ocksa˚ vikten av goda fo¨rha˚llanden pa˚ en politisk niva˚ (Ministry forForeign Affairs of Finland 2010).Handlingsplanen go¨r upp en bred lista o¨ver ma˚lsa¨ttningar fo¨r olika sektorer.Dessa ma˚lsa¨ttningar inkluderar politiska fra˚gor och kommersiella fra˚ gor samt fra˚ gorsom har att go¨ra med energi, miljo¨och klimat, forskning och innovation, kulturelltsamarbete, utvecklingssamarbete och samarbete mellan ra¨ttsva¨sendet och gra¨nsbe-vakningsmyndigheter (ibid.). Handlingsplanen misslyckas i att uppra¨tta na˚gra klaraprioriteringar bland de uppra¨knade ma˚lsa¨ttningarna.Handlingsplanen har inte uppdaterats men en ny lista ma˚ lsa¨ttningar ochprioriteter fo¨rva¨ntas finnas i ett dokument da¨r principerna fo¨r ett partnerskap skalldefinieras, detta dokument fo¨rbereds i nationella byra˚kratier ba˚de i Finland och iKina. Partnerskapet diskuterades av Finlands och Kinas presidenter a˚r 2013. Ma˚letfo¨r partnerskapet skulle vara att fra¨mja ett pragmatiskt och framtidsorienteratsamarbete inom relevanta omra˚den av gemensamt intresse. Partnerskapet fo¨rva¨ntasinte fo¨lja samma modell som na˚got annat partnerskap som Kina har fo¨rna¨rvarande,sa˚ledes kommer det antagligen inte att kallas fo¨r ett omfattande strategisktpartnerskap, strategiskt partnerskap eller na˚ got liknande. Ista¨llet kommer det attinneha˚lla en starkare betoning pa˚ det praktiska. I Kina har partnerskapet somfo¨rebereds inofficiellt fa˚tt namnet »en ny sorts partnerskap».Fo¨rna¨rvarande finnsJyrki Kallio4 inga uppskattningar av na¨rfo¨rhandlingarna avslutas men ma˚let a¨r att publicerapartnerskapet under det na¨sta mo¨tet pa˚ toppniva˚ mellan Finland och Kina.Naturligtvis skulle detta bilaterala partnerskap vara ett komplement till EU:s ochKinas strategiska partnerskap (UM 2014 & 2016).En praktisk a˚ tga¨rd som framskridit pa˚ grund av handlingsplanen, och Finlandsutrikesministeriums allma¨nna strategi, a¨rfo¨rso¨ket att erbjuda tja¨nster fo¨r alla finskaakto¨rer pa˚ ett koordinerat sa¨tt genom en och samma portga˚ng vars namn a¨r TeamFinland. Tillva¨gaga˚ngssa¨ttet har fa˚tt ett positivt mottagande bland det finskaaffa¨rslivet och det finns fo¨rhoppningar om att en ta¨tare sammanha˚llning mellanfo¨retagen och olika statliga akto¨rer kunde fo¨rba¨ttra Finlands synlighet i Kina ochgo¨ra Finland konkurrenskraftigare (Embassy of Finland, Beijing 2016b).Sett ur Finlands synpunkt a¨r de intressantaste omra˚dena fo¨r praktiskt samarbetemed Kina miljo¨va¨nlig teknologi, energi och miljo¨, urbanisering, IKT, skogsbruk,utbildning och innovation, arktiskt samarbete och juridiskt samarbete (Ministry forForeign Affairs of Finland 2010). Det sist na¨mnda har redan en la˚ng historia ochfinska experter inom lag sa˚som domare, advokater, a˚klagare, och fa¨ngelseadminis-trato¨rer har sedan a˚r 1995 erbjudit deras kinesiska motparter ra˚ d och skolning samtdelat ba¨sta praxis. Sa˚ledes ma¨rkte a˚ret 2015 den 20:e a˚rsdagen fo¨r juridiskt samarbetemellan Finland och Kina. Detta samarbete vars ma˚ l var att fra¨mja gott styre, lagstyreoch respekt fo¨rma¨nskliga ra¨ttigheter pa˚ ett praktiskt, icke-fientligt sa¨tt hyllas oftasom ett av de mest lyckade och unika elementen i Finlands fo¨rha˚ llande med Kina(se t.ex. Lindstro¨m 2015). En interim rapport vars syfte a¨r att diskutera prestatio-nerna inom, och de kommande utmaningarna fo¨r, juridiskt samarbete fo¨rbereds avden finska sidan och fo¨rva¨ntas bli publicerad a˚r 2016.Kina (alltsa˚Ministeriet fo¨r Vetenskap och Teknologi) har besta¨mt ett eget fokusga¨llande fo¨rha˚ llandet med Finland. Detta fokus omfattar nanoteknologi och Arktiskafra˚gor (Ministry of Science and Technology 2012: 280). Det a¨r anma¨rkningsva¨rt attFinland systematiskt uttryckt sto¨dfo¨r Kinas roll som observato¨r i det Arktiska Ra˚detgenom att sta˚fo¨r principen att alla som a¨r redo att fo¨rbinda sig till fra¨mjandet avdet Arktiska Ra˚dets ma˚l genom praktiskt samarbete borde vara bera¨ttigade till enobservato¨rsplats (se Valtioneuvoston kanslia 2010: 36). Ett tecken pa˚ Kinas intressegentemot Finlands arktiska know-how a¨r deras besta¨llning av den konceptuella ochgrundla¨ggande designen av Kinas nya polarforskningsfartyg fra˚n Aker ArcticTechnology a˚r 2012 (Maritime Executive 2012).Det arktiska a¨r en aspekt som fo¨renar alla nordiska la¨nder bland Kinas intressen.Det fja¨rde Kina-Nordiska arktiska samarbetssymposiet ho¨lls i Rovaniemi i juni 2016(Arctic Centre 2016). Kina har under a˚ren uttryckt ett intresse fo¨r skapandet av en»51»plattform pa˚ statso¨verhuvuds- eller premia¨rministerniva˚ med de nordiskala¨nderna. Det verkar finnas ett fo¨rnyat intresse fo¨r detta efter mo¨tet mellan presidentObama och de nordiska statsministrarna i maj 2016 (UM 2016). Man fa˚r a¨ndainte glo¨mma att de nordiska la¨nderna, i fo¨rha˚llande till ma˚ nga framva¨xandesamarbetsomra˚den sa˚som affrsintressen relaterade till det arktiska samarbeteteller miljo¨teknologi, i viss grad ta¨vlar med varandra. Det finns ocksa˚ta¨vlingmellan Finland och Sverige ga¨llande traditionella exportindustrier som skogsbruk,Bilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finland och Kina5 pappersmassatillverkning och pappersindustri. Da¨rfo¨r verkar det osannolikt att enformell 51 plattform kommer att tas emot entusiastiskt i de nordiska la¨nderna,oavsett det potentiella intresset som utryckts av Nordiska ministerra˚det (Norden2016). A˚tminstone i Finland verkar det inte finnas intresse fo¨r uppra¨ttandet av enformaliserad plattform som inte skulle mo¨jliggo¨ra lika substantiella och praktikin-riktade diskussioner i synnerhet med ma˚lsa¨ttningen att fra¨mja kommersiellaintressen som a¨rmo¨jliga genom bilaterala diskussioner.Bland den breda allma¨nheten a¨r uppfattningarna ga¨llande samarbete med Kinadelade. A˚ena sidan finns den a¨ldre oron om att alla tillverkningsarbeten fo¨rsvinnertill Kina och den nyare oron som visar sig i misstankar om att kineserna ko¨per deba¨sta finska fo¨retagen. Den fo¨rsta typens oro bo¨rjar bli mindre hotande eftersomproduktionskostnaderna ho¨js i Kina och fo¨r att na˚gra finska fo¨retag har flyttat sinaproduktionslinjer tillbaka till Finland (Liimatainen 2016). Den andra oron kunde blimera bra˚dskande i framtiden. A˚andra sidan finns uppfattningen som ocksa˚ delaspa˚ den officiella niva˚n att Finland borde fo¨rdjupa ekonomiskt samarbete med Kinada˚ Kina fo¨r tillfa¨llet a¨r den starkaste drivkraften fo¨r ekonomisk tillva¨xt. Det finnsocksa˚rster bland den politiska eliten och fo¨retagseliten som uppmanar Finland attta la¨rdom av den kinesiska effektiviteten medan ma˚nga samha¨llsaktivister betraktarKina med misstanke pa˚grund av dess ma¨nniskora¨ttssituation.ven andra typers ma¨nniskokontakter a¨n politiska och handelskontakter mellanFinland och Kina o¨kar som ba¨st. Det finns o¨ver 2000 kinesiska examensstuderande ide finska universiteten, den na¨ststo¨rsta gruppen efter ryska studerande. Kinesernautgo¨rna¨stan 10% av alla utla¨ndska examensstuderande. Fo¨re a˚r 2012 var Kina ho¨gstuppe pa˚ listan o¨ver la¨nder ur vilka utla¨ndska studerande kommer (CIMO 2012). Ettska¨l till Finlands ho¨jda popularitet var antagligen Nokias framga˚ng i Kina och ettstort antal, om inte majoriteten, av kinesiska studerande studerar teknologirelateradea¨mnen. Ett Konfuciusinstitut uppra¨ttades vid Helsingfors universitet a˚r 2007 ochkulturministeriet planerar att o¨ppna ett kulturinstitut i Helsingfors (se Ministry ofEducation and Culture 2015). Helsingfors stad har i samarbete med Pekingorganiserat en a˚rlig kinesisk nya˚rsfestival redan sedan a˚r 2007. Den har blivit alltmerpopula¨rba˚de bland finla¨ndare och asiatiska inva˚ nare som bor i huvudstadsregionenoch fo¨rra a˚ ret lockade den en publikma¨ngd pa˚o¨ver 30 000 ma¨nniskor (Ax 2016).I genga¨ld organiserade Helsingfors stad en serie av kulturella evenemang i Peking ijuni 2016 under sloganen »Moi Helsinki»(Hello Helsinki). Huvudevenemanget fickundantagsvis lov att ordnas pa˚ Xidans kulturtorg och beso¨ktes av 25 000 ma¨nniskor(Helsingin kaupunki 2016).Kan pragmatism ga˚fo¨rla˚ngt?Fo¨r tillfa¨llet kan de bilaterala fo¨rha˚llandena beskrivas som stabila och allma¨ntoproblematiska. Sino-finska fo¨rha˚llanden drivs fo¨rst och fra¨mst av kommersiellaintressen fra˚n Finlands sida. Da¨rtill a¨r det lika viktigt fo¨r Finland som fo¨r vilken somhelst annan utvecklad nation att uppra¨ttha˚lla na¨ra kontakt med en global maktsledarskap. Politiska fo¨rha˚ llanden har fo¨rblivit pa˚enho¨g och aktiv niva˚. Ba˚deJyrki Kallio6 Finlands president och premia¨rminister beso¨kte Kina a˚r 2013. Presidenten hadeunder visiten sa¨llskap av en fo¨retagsdelegation (Ulkoasiainministerio¨2014). LiuYunshan, medlem av Kinas kommunistiska partis politbyra˚ s sta¨ndiga utskott,beso¨kte Finland a˚r 2014. Beso¨kets fokus var pa˚ kulturellt samarbete, vilket har ho¨jts(Jones 2014). Kina var Helsingfors festspels temaland i augusti 2015.Det finns inga sto¨rre problem som skulle riskera en smidig utveckling avfo¨rha˚llanden i den na¨ra framtiden. De na¨rmaste bekymren fo¨r Finland i fo¨rha˚ llandetill Kina a¨r immaterialra¨ttsliga intra˚ng och industriellt spionage. De fo¨rstna¨mndadiskuteras regelbundet vid gemensamma kommitte´mo¨ten mellan Finlands utrikesmi-nisterium och Kinas handelsministerium (MOFCOM) sa˚va¨l som genom EU-kanaler(Nieminen et al. 2013). Industriellt spionage kommer sannolikt att bli en va¨xandehuvudva¨rk fo¨r den finska skyddspolisen.Fo¨r Kina a¨r Finland en av de mindre och obetydligare samarbetspartnernabland EU:s medlemsla¨nder. Finland betraktas antagligen ocksa˚ som en relativtharmlo¨s partner av Kina. Kinas ka¨rnintressen reflekteras a¨nda˚ till och med i de finsk-kinesiska bilaterala fo¨rha˚ llandena. Va¨nskapsavtalet mellan Finland och Kina fra˚n a˚r1926 a¨r en manifestation av den unga republiken Kinas utrikespolitiska prioriteter.Kinas ka¨rnintressen visar att dessa prioriteter inte har fo¨ra¨ndrats till denna dag(se Hellstro¨m 2014: 14). Kina fo¨rblir ka¨nslig fo¨r antydanden som ringaktar desssta¨llning som ja¨mlik i fo¨rha˚llande till de andra stora makterna. Kina betraktar deninternationella ordningen som ett va¨sterla¨ndskt pa˚hitt och har en kritisk attitydgentemot ma¨nniskora¨ttigheternas universalitet. Mo¨ten mellan den 14:e Dalai lamanoch utla¨ndska ledare betraktas av Kina som fo¨rso¨k att underminera dess suvera¨nitet iTibet. I hemlandet ser Kina en stark korrelation mellan stabilitet och ekonomisktillva¨xt, vilka ba˚da beho¨vs fo¨r att sla˚ vakt om ledarskapets legitimitet.Som medlem i EU a¨r Finland aktivt involverad i utformningen av unionenspolitik gentemot Kina. Den strategiska agendan fo¨rfo¨rbindelserna mellan EU ochKina fram till 2020 pa˚minner om att EU och Kina har blivit ho¨gst beroende avvarandra (EEAS 2013). Tar man ha¨nsyn till den nuvarande finanskrisen och denekonomiska stagnationen i Europa sa˚a¨r Kinas kontinuerliga ekonomiska tillva¨xtlivsviktig fo¨r den europeiska ekonomin. Eftersom den kinesiska regeringen serstabilitet som ett viktigt villkor fo¨r ekonomisk tillva¨xt sa˚a¨r Kinas stabilitet mern endast indirekt ett europeiskt, och nordiskt, intresse. Fra˚gan blir da˚fo¨ljande:hur la˚ngt a¨r individuella la¨nder klara att ga˚ speciellt da˚ vi antar att de kan hata¨vlande kommersiella intressen i att a˚ tminstone implicit sto¨da Kinas a˚tga¨rder attuppra¨ttha˚lla sin interna stabilitet?Enligt utrikesministeriet har Finland relativt bera¨knat den sto¨rsta handelsvoly-men med Kina bland alla EU:s medlemsla¨nder, alltsa˚ bera¨knat i fo¨rha˚ llande tillstorleken pa˚ Finlands nationella ekonomi (Ulkoasiainministerio¨2014). Sammaga¨ller fo¨r Finland bland de nordiska la¨nderna, Finland har a¨nda tills fo¨rra a˚ ret varitmest beroende av Kina i ljus av exportsiffrorna. Detta kan ha pa˚verkningar fo¨rdepolitiska fo¨rha˚ llandena under de kommande a˚ ren. Fasta¨n Finland vanligtvis har varita˚terha˚ llsam med att uttrycka o¨ppen, offentlig kritik ga¨llande kontroversiella a¨mnensa˚ har toppniva˚ns beso¨kare fra˚n Finland till Kina hittills systematiskt tagit uppBilaterala fo¨rha˚llanden mellan Finland och Kina7 ma¨nniskora¨ttsa¨
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